The DeCarley Perspective
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Strategy Idea...Put spreads in Fat Cattle
Live cattle has worked off the oversold condition; another leg lower?
Sep 14
2
The DeCarley Perspective...Oil and the Fed are holding markets hostage.
Oil is holding the financial markets hostage with the Fed on deck.
Sep 11
7
1
Strategy Idea...10-year note calls or micro futures
Being a bond bull hasn't paid off, but that may change soon.
Sep 11
8
Strategy Idea...Bearish December Crude Oil Spread
The oil market is testing a critical pivot line.
Sep 2
1
The DeCarley Perspective...Are the grains following 2010?
Another failed grain rally, or is this for real?
Sep 1
5
August 2026
Strategy Idea...Short October micro oil with insurance
Headlines are bullish on oil, but we are seeing lower highs.
Aug 31
The DeCarley Perspective...Oil headlines are bullish, but price action isn’t
Fake news and supply data circulating in commodity markets are as old as time.
Aug 24
5
Strategy Idea...Buy December Corn Puts
The perfect storm of bullish news pushed corn to its trendline.
Aug 24
3
The DeCarley Perspective...First the Yen, then the Treasuries
It must be intervention season.
Aug 20
9
2
2
Strategy Idea...Sell mini soybeans with catastrophic insurance.
Jan beans are a "seasonal sell"
Aug 20
5
Strategy Idea...Nibble on bullish cattle spreads.
Cattle futures are reacting negatively to plant closures, but in the past these events have created short-term bottoms.
Aug 14
Strategy Idea...Cheap bearish gold plays
Gold is testing significant resistance; we think it will probably hold.
Aug 13
2
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