Archive - DeCarley Trading Substack

The world is selling Treasuries and buying Gold; Mathematically, that’s a bad move.

These are not your grandfather’s markets; asset repricing is quicker due to electronic trading, and the bandwagon mentality is more prominent due to…

May 23 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

The DeCarley Perspective...Is the US Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status at Risk?

Is the US Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status at Risk? If so, what does that mean for the Greenback?

May 7 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

February 2025

The DeCarley Perspective...Should the U.S. Sell its Gold to Pay Off Debt?

The price of gold has been a source of prosperity for the patient bulls, but the gravy train has probably left the station.

Feb 28 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

January 2025

The DeCarley Perspective...Correlations between specific markets are unnaturally high; can this continue?

As traders or investors, we would like to believe that market prices fluctuate solely based on supply and demand logic.

Jan 24 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

The DeCarley Perspective...Oil is probably bull trapping

Crude oil rallies have made lower highs since March 2022; we are probably bull trapping.

Jan 6 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

November 2024

We are being gaslit by our quote boards

The hardest thing to do as a human is to trust what we know, not what we see.

Nov 13, 2024 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

September 2024

So many odd coincidences…do they mean anything?

Market prices fluctuate on cycles and human emotions; thus, patterns tend to matter. Moreover, history often repeats itself or at least rhymes.

Sep 23, 2024 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

We don't trust crude oil, but we don't want to miss a rally either

DeCarley Trading Strategy Idea...Buy more crude oil calls

Sep 5, 2024 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

July 2024

Investors are being Punished for Diversifying; it won’t last.

While the NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500 are at all-time highs, many disciplined and diversified portfolios and funds are not.

Jul 12, 2024 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

June 2024

Heavy Metal Chart Fest

Few markets can deliver the caliber of pain the precious metals do to buy-and-hold investors.

Jun 18, 2024 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

April 2024

The ES can't hold a bid, this correction isn't over

In the big picture, stocks are expensive and bonds are cheap

Apr 18, 2024 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

Crude oil has Rallied without the Help of Speculators or Chinese Demand

The oil market has quietly assembled an impressive $15.00 per barrel rally. The lack of fanfare can likely be attributed to the lack of volatility.

Apr 4, 2024 •

DeCarleyTrading.com

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts